Computer ratings · FCS vs FCS games only

FCS College Football Ratings & Strength of Schedule

2023 Week 7 · through Saturday, October 14

Season

Week

How this week's numbers compare

Power (0 = average team): #1 +28.0 · #10 +13.6 · middle −0.5
SOS (higher is harder): hardest 54.8 · #10 46.5 · middle 30.9 · easiest 11.8
SOR (lower is better): #1 1.6% · #25 49%

Power is in points: a +20 team would be favored by about 20 over an average FCS team on a neutral field, and by 10 over a +10 team. SOS, SOR, and SOV are measured against a #25-level team: one as strong as the 25th-best team in these ratings usually is at season's end (+9.0 points). That comes from these ratings, not the poll. An SOS of 50 means a #25-level team would lose about half of these games; above 50, the opponents were, on average, better than that.

What these columns mean

#: Rank in the column you sorted by (strength of record unless you pick another). "—" means too few FCS games to rank.
vs FCS: Record against FCS teams. These are the only games any number here counts.
All games: Record in every game, including opponents outside FCS. For reference only.
SOR: Strength of record: how often a #25-level team would do at least this well against this exact schedule. Lower is harder to achieve.
Power: Points better than an average FCS team on a neutral field. The difference between two teams is the expected margin.
SOS: Strength of schedule, 0–100: on average, how often a #25-level team would lose each of these games. Higher is harder.
SOS rank: Rank by SOS. Teams need 3 FCS games to be ranked.
SOV: Strength of victory: SOS counting only the games the team won.
Record SOS: NCAA RPI-style schedule strength from records only: 2/3 opponents' win % plus 1/3 their opponents' win %.

Only games between two FCS teams count. Method v1 · 317 FCS games · run 94e8629d5fbc

Team

vs FCS

All games

SOS rank

118

0-5

0-6

100%

−14.7

41.9

—

0.446

47.5

118

The CitadelSouthern

0-6

0-7

100%

−15.3

38.8

—

0.538

27.9

118

Southeastern LouisianaSouthland

0-5

0-7

100%

−2.2

31.2

—

0.466

14.0

118

Northwestern StateSouthland

0-3

0-5

100%

−13.0

26.7

—

0.472

16.2

118

Northern ColoradoBig Sky

0-5

0-6

100%

−10.6

38.3

—

0.524

43.3

118

McNeeseSouthland

0-5

0-6

100%

−14.0

25.3

—

0.412

28.0

118

Kennesaw StateFCS Indep.

0-5

1-5

100%

−2.6

34.3

—

0.539

—

118

Indiana StateMVFC

0-4

0-6

100%

−11.9

30.1

—

0.486

50.2

118

DaytonPioneer

0-5

2-5

100%

−18.0

16.8

123

—

0.306

16.3

118

Arkansas-Pine BluffSWAC

0-4

1-5

100%

−17.1

23.0

106

—

0.385

20.4

117

Bethune-CookmanSWAC

0-3

1-5

100%

−4.9

35.9

—

0.389

26.8

114

WoffordSouthern

0-6

0-7

100%

−13.0

27.8

—

0.394

42.7

114

ValparaisoPioneer

0-4

1-5

100%

−11.9

25.1

—

0.421

17.0

114

Stony BrookCAA

0-5

0-6

100%

−12.5

36.0

—

0.547

56.4

113

Sacred HeartNEC

1-6

100%

−10.7

25.4

30.6

0.425

11.2

112

San DiegoPioneer

1-4

1-5

100%

−12.2

16.3

125

2.2

0.324

8.9

111

Central Connecticut StateNEC

1-3

2-4

100%

−13.3

17.7

118

3.4

0.360

14.0

110

LehighPatriot

1-6

100%

−10.3

34.5

21.7

0.475

34.9

109

StetsonPioneer

1-3

3-3

100%

−12.3

28.4

4.8

0.457

14.4

108

PresbyterianPioneer

2-3

3-3

100%

−18.1

11.8

127

8.6

0.231

15.5

107

Long IslandNEC

1-3

1-5

100%

−7.2

19.3

115

6.5

0.387

12.8

106

Saint FrancisNEC

2-3

2-4

100%

−2.6

19.4

114

8.8

0.417

15.6

105

South Carolina StateMEAC

1-2

2-4

100%

−12.2

17.4

121

4.0

0.355

27.0

104

Mississippi Valley StateSWAC

1-3

1-5

100%

−12.3

30.4

4.6

0.550

27.1

103

MerrimackNEC

2-3

3-3

100%

−3.6

22.9

107

9.7

0.379

16.3

102

Robert MorrisOVC

1-4

2-5

100%

−13.7

34.3

19.5

0.414

26.6

101

Morehead StatePioneer

2-3

3-3

100%

−9.6

19.7

113

6.8

0.364

19.5

100

Grambling StateSWAC

2-3

3-4

100%

−5.0

16.5

124

14.7

0.438

20.1

Texas SouthernSWAC

1-2

2-4

100%

−3.9

17.5

119

26.7

0.285

31.9

ButlerPioneer

2-3

4-3

100%

−4.1

23.2

104

6.5

0.511

9.2

StonehillNEC

2-4

100%

−10.8

26.5

20.5

0.428

13.6

East Texas A&MSouthland

1-4

1-5

99%

−6.1

45.6

6.6

0.504

19.7

East Tennessee StateSouthern

1-3

2-4

99%

−3.0

36.5

6.5

0.446

40.9

MaristPioneer

3-3

99%

−12.9

17.5

120

8.2

0.372

9.4

Cal PolyBig Sky

1-4

2-5

99%

−11.3

48.4

6.2

0.550

32.9

Tennessee TechOVC

2-3

2-4

99%

−7.3

24.4

100

19.0

0.403

32.4

LindenwoodOVC

2-4

3-4

99%

−9.9

33.4

11.4

0.431

25.6

MaineCAA

2-4

2-5

99%

−3.8

36.6

8.9

0.479

46.3

Prairie View A&MSWAC

3-3

3-4

99%

−9.0

18.4

116

20.7

0.440

39.1

CornellIvy

2-3

99%

−6.3

32.2

36.8

0.520

31.8

PrincetonIvy

2-3

99%

+3.2

25.6

17.7

0.532

38.7

ColumbiaIvy

2-3

99%

+2.5

28.2

11.9

0.587

37.9

Houston ChristianSouthland

2-3

3-4

99%

−7.0

28.3

25.1

0.508

24.3

North AlabamaUAC

2-5

98%

−3.2

40.4

35.9

0.600

44.6

Morgan StateMEAC

1-3

1-4

98%

−5.5

39.0

44.4

0.536

25.2

HowardMEAC

1-2

2-4

98%

−1.5

32.6

13.8

0.538

26.2

SouthernSWAC

2-3

3-3

98%

+2.5

29.0

12.6

0.526

15.4

GeorgetownPatriot

4-3

98%

−3.3

20.7

112

15.4

0.434

35.7

Murray StateMVFC

2-2

2-4

98%

−9.9

29.9

3.8

0.539

61.7

St. Thomas (MN)Pioneer

3-3

4-3

97%

−7.9

29.8

9.0

0.561

7.1

North Carolina A&TCAA

1-4

1-5

97%

−3.4

51.7

29.6

0.688

33.0

BucknellPatriot

2-3

2-4

97%

−10.1

34.3

16.3

0.665

19.9

DartmouthIvy

2-3

97%

+0.7

34.5

28.3

0.499

34.9

WagnerNEC

2-2

2-4

96%

−13.6

23.8

103

15.8

0.386

11.4

SamfordSouthern

2-3

3-4

96%

+3.6

36.3

13.3

0.541

29.7

RichmondCAA

4-2

4-3

96%

+2.3

16.8

122

20.6

0.345

47.8

VMISouthern

3-2

3-3

96%

−11.4

21.3

110

14.1

0.434

43.4

Stephen F. AustinSouthland

3-3

3-4

95%

+9.0

30.1

13.8

0.484

40.5

Southeast Missouri StateOVC

2-3

2-4

95%

+9.8

38.6

14.6

0.626

30.8

FordhamPatriot

4-2

5-2

95%

+4.7

18.3

117

7.3

0.439

37.2

Alcorn StateSWAC

3-2

3-3

94%

−4.8

24.0

102

19.6

0.429

22.9

TowsonCAA

2-3

2-4

94%

+0.1

38.9

48.1

0.544

49.5

Idaho StateBig Sky

2-2

2-4

94%

−5.9

30.7

15.9

0.484

52.6

Alabama A&MSWAC

2-2

4-3

94%

−2.1

29.5

16.9

0.382

26.6

Weber StateBig Sky

2-3

3-4

94%

+2.7

40.8

33.4

0.498

31.4

Northern ArizonaBig Sky

2-4

2-5

94%

+2.6

48.5

53.5

0.595

43.6

DavidsonPioneer

3-1

4-2

93%

+1.9

12.2

126

13.4

0.434

6.4

Charleston SouthernOVC

2-2

3-3

92%

−4.7

34.2

12.0

0.527

30.3

Illinois StateMVFC

4-2

92%

+8.5

24.1

101

6.0

0.380

47.6

Missouri StateMVFC

2-3

2-4

92%

+7.1

43.1

16.1

0.577

47.8

Norfolk StateMEAC

2-2

2-4

92%

−3.9

30.3

36.6

0.498

25.0

YaleIvy

3-2

92%

+7.1

25.9

21.6

0.442

38.6

BryantOVC

3-2

3-3

91%

−1.1

25.6

20.4

0.454

28.6

HamptonCAA

3-3

91%

−2.9

33.8

30.7

0.496

38.9

ColgatePatriot

2-3

2-4

91%

−4.7

44.2

24.7

0.614

24.9

Eastern WashingtonBig Sky

2-3

2-4

90%

+0.6

45.9

41.4

0.515

41.6

Nicholls StateSouthland

2-1

2-3

89%

+1.9

22.3

108

12.4

0.436

39.7

Gardner-WebbOVC

2-2

2-4

89%

+1.1

36.4

23.4

0.562

33.5

Tarleton StateUAC

3-2

4-3

88%

+3.8

28.0

18.2

0.361

40.5

Abilene ChristianUAC

3-2

3-3

86%

+4.3

30.5

14.8

0.526

38.2

DuquesneNEC

2-1

3-3

84%

−1.5

30.4

11.7

0.497

22.2

Southern UtahUAC

2-2

2-4

84%

+5.1

40.7

25.3

0.497

42.4

Jackson StateSWAC

4-2

4-3

84%

+8.0

25.8

21.9

0.502

10.3

MonmouthCAA

3-2

3-3

83%

+10.3

31.2

23.4

0.528

46.0

CampbellCAA

3-3

83%

+9.3

41.8

34.4

0.564

33.2

MercerSouthern

4-2

4-3

82%

+8.9

26.9

16.4

0.534

37.7

BrownIvy

3-2

81%

+1.7

34.4

21.4

0.592

32.9

Alabama StateSWAC

3-2

3-3

81%

+1.0

34.8

33.1

0.537

16.1

DrakePioneer

3-2

3-3

80%

−3.1

39.2

10.5

0.563

21.6

New HampshireCAA

3-2

3-3

80%

+10.2

35.1

29.2

0.592

37.8

LamarSouthland

3-2

4-3

79%

−5.9

34.8

19.4

0.493

26.7

Youngstown StateMVFC

3-2

3-3

79%

+12.0

35.8

23.7

0.544

40.0

UC DavisBig Sky

4-2

4-3

78%

+9.1

28.6

27.7

0.481

37.9

Utah TechUAC

2-3

2-4

76%

−3.8

54.8

51.3

0.571

42.8

Rhode IslandCAA

4-2

4-3

76%

+5.5

30.0

24.2

0.530

39.9

Eastern IllinoisOVC

4-2

4-3

76%

+0.5

30.6

17.4

0.398

15.8

ElonCAA

3-3

3-4

73%

+7.1

46.5

43.6

0.627

42.5

Northern IowaMVFC

3-2

3-3

72%

+4.4

40.7

30.8

0.545

49.6

PennIvy

4-1

67%

+4.1

23.2

105

24.2

0.520

37.2

ChattanoogaSouthern

5-2

64%

+10.0

30.8

27.6

0.428

42.7

Tennessee StateOVC

4-1

4-2

58%

+0.2

27.7

18.5

0.485

18.7

Portland StateBig Sky

2-1

3-3

51%

+8.8

49.0

29.2

0.522

30.5

William & MaryCAA

4-1

4-2

49%

+10.3

31.0

26.1

0.453

36.1

Sacramento StateBig Sky

4-1

5-1

48%

+10.2

31.7

22.2

0.508

52.0

Holy CrossPatriot

4-1

4-2

47%

+17.4

31.9

25.6

0.621

28.1

IdahoBig Sky

4-1

5-2

47%

+13.6

32.8

30.0

0.615

40.0

Eastern KentuckyUAC

3-1

3-3

46%

+6.1

40.9

35.7

0.614

45.4

Austin PeayUAC

4-1

4-2

40%

+13.9

35.8

31.5

0.532

37.4

North Dakota StateMVFC

4-2

39%

+17.5

46.9

41.8

0.654

48.1

VillanovaCAA

5-1

5-2

36%

+13.2

32.0

28.1

0.550

50.8

Incarnate WordSouthland

4-0

5-1

36%

+13.5

20.8

111

20.8

0.346

17.8

DelawareCAA

5-0

5-1

28%

+14.1

21.5

109

21.5

0.531

45.2

UAlbanyCAA

4-1

4-3

27%

+9.8

42.8

38.2

0.595

43.3

Montana StateBig Sky

5-1

25%

+22.9

35.3

23.6

0.590

52.2

MontanaBig Sky

5-1

6-1

23%

+10.9

37.3

38.0

0.591

56.9

FurmanSouthern

5-0

5-1

20%

+12.3

25.3

0.424

37.8

Florida A&MSWAC

4-0

5-1

19%

+11.0

31.7

0.584

18.0

UT MartinOVC

5-0

5-1

19%

+10.0

27.5

0.588

31.0

North DakotaMVFC

4-1

4-2

18%

+17.3

43.0

30.8

0.605

36.6

Southern IllinoisMVFC

4-1

5-1

18%

+10.3

48.7

47.1

0.616

46.7

North Carolina CentralMEAC

4-0

5-1

17%

+13.3

33.4

0.516

19.1

LafayettePatriot

5-0

5-1

16%

+7.1

28.6

0.517

38.9

Central ArkansasUAC

4-1

5-2

16%

+11.2

51.5

44.9

0.608

41.2

Western CarolinaSouthern

5-0

5-1

11%

+13.7

32.9

0.582

25.6

HarvardIvy

5-0

10%

+13.9

29.3

0.640

37.2

South DakotaMVFC

5-0

5-1

5.5%

+11.7

33.3

0.665

49.9

South Dakota StateMVFC

5-0

6-0

1.6%

+28.0

51.6

0.748

56.0

—

Delaware StateMEAC

0-2

1-5

100%

−14.6

20.4

small sample

—

0.294

26.2