Morgan State
MEAC · 1-3 vs FCS · 1-4 overall
Strength of record
#83
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#89
−5.5 pts · likely #60–111
Strength of schedule
39.0
#25 of 128
Strength of victory
44.4
1 wins
Record SOS
0.536
Opp. 57.5% · Opp. opp. 45.7%
Remaining SOS
25.2
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Morgan State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs North Carolina Central · p 0.545
- Wk 9: at Norfolk State · p 0.269
- Wk 10: vs Delaware State · p 0.031
- Wk 11: at South Carolina State · p 0.102
- Wk 12: at Howard · p 0.315
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at AkronFBS · L 21-24