Towson
CAA · 2-3 vs FCS · 2-4 overall
Strength of record
#66
A #25-level team matches it 94% of the time
Power
#64
+0.1 pts · likely #40–88
Strength of schedule
38.9
#26 of 128
Strength of victory
48.1
2 wins
Record SOS
0.544
Opp. 53.3% · Opp. opp. 56.5%
Remaining SOS
49.5
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Towson. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Monmouth | L 23-42 | +8.1 | −2.9 | 0.398 | 2 | −11.7 |
| 3 | at Morgan State | W 20-10 | −3.5 | +2.9 | 0.259 | 2 | +7.4 |
| 4 | vs Norfolk State | L 14-21 | −5.9 | −2.9 | 0.112 | 3 | −13.9 |
| 5 | at New Hampshire | W 54-51 OT | +13.9 | +2.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at William & Mary · p 0.616
- Wk 9: vs Delaware · p 0.561
- Wk 10: at North Carolina A&T · p 0.261
- Wk 11: at Villanova · p 0.701
- Wk 12: vs Rhode Island · p 0.334
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at MarylandFBS · L 6-38