Norfolk State
MEAC · 2-2 vs FCS · 2-4 overall
Strength of record
#57
A #25-level team matches it 92% of the time
Power
#81
−3.9 pts · likely #52–106
Strength of schedule
30.3
#71 of 128
Strength of victory
36.6
2 wins
Record SOS
0.498
Opp. 46.3% · Opp. opp. 57.0%
Remaining SOS
25.0
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Norfolk State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Hampton | W 31-23 | −0.9 | +2.9 | 0.320 | 2 | +8.0 |
| 4 | at Towson | W 21-14 | +2.8 | +2.9 | 0.413 | 2 | +10.1 |
| 5 | vs North Carolina A&T | L 26-28 | −4.4 | −2.9 | 0.134 | 3 | −8.4 |
| 7 | at Tennessee State | L 17-24 | +0.3 | +2.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Howard · p 0.315
- Wk 9: vs Morgan State · p 0.124
- Wk 10: at North Carolina Central · p 0.696
- Wk 11: at Delaware State · p 0.070
- Wk 12: vs South Carolina State · p 0.047
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Virginia StateDII · L 24-33
- Wk 3: at TempleFBS · L 9-41