North Carolina A&T
CAA · 1-4 vs FCS · 1-5 overall
Strength of record
#77
A #25-level team matches it 97% of the time
Power
#77
−3.4 pts · likely #54–102
Strength of schedule
51.7
#2 of 128
Strength of victory
29.6
1 wins
Record SOS
0.688
Opp. 77.3% · Opp. opp. 51.7%
Remaining SOS
33.0
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-3
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Carolina A&T. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs North Carolina Central | L 16-30 | +13.6 | −2.9 | 0.545 | 1 | −3.7 |
| 3 | at Elon | L 3-27 | +5.9 | +2.9 | 0.497 | 2 | −13.9 |
| 5 | at Norfolk State | W 28-26 | −1.9 | +2.9 | 0.296 | 2 | +1.0 |
| 6 | vs Villanova | L 14-37 | +12.4 | −2.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Richmond · p 0.235
- Wk 9: at Hampton · p 0.277
- Wk 10: vs Towson · p 0.215
- Wk 11: at Rhode Island · p 0.488
- Wk 12: vs Campbell · p 0.437
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at UABFBS · L 6-35