North Carolina Central
MEAC · 4-0 vs FCS · 5-1 overall
Strength of record
#7
A #25-level team matches it 17% of the time
Power
#12
+13.3 pts · likely #5–39
Strength of schedule
33.4
#51 of 128
Strength of victory
33.4
#10
Record SOS
0.516
Opp. 44.6% · Opp. opp. 65.5%
Remaining SOS
19.1
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Carolina Central. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at North Carolina A&T | W 30-16 | −3.4 | +2.9 | 0.261 | 2 | +13.6 |
| 4 | vs (N) Mississippi Valley State | W 45-3 | −10.6 | 0.0 | 0.092 | 4 | +22.7 |
| 5 | vs Campbell | W 49-48 OT | +8.7 | −2.9 | 0.413 | 2 | +7.3 |
| 6 | at Elon | W 34-23 | +8.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Morgan State · p 0.225
- Wk 9: vs South Carolina State · p 0.047
- Wk 10: vs Norfolk State · p 0.155
- Wk 11: at Howard · p 0.315
- Wk 12: vs Delaware State · p 0.031
- Wk 13: at Richmond · p 0.373
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Winston-SalemDII · W 47-21
- Wk 3: at UCLAFBS · L 7-59