Mississippi Valley State
SWAC · 1-3 vs FCS · 1-5 overall
Strength of record
#104
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#114
−12.3 pts · likely #86–125
Strength of schedule
30.4
#70 of 128
Strength of victory
4.6
1 wins
Record SOS
0.550
Opp. 60.0% · Opp. opp. 45.1%
Remaining SOS
27.1
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Mississippi Valley State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | vs (N) North Carolina Central | L 3-45 | +11.6 | 0.0 | 0.570 | 1 | −21.7 |
| 5 | vs Florida A&M | L 7-31 | +11.2 | −2.9 | 0.479 | 2 | −15.9 |
| 6 | at Prairie View A&M | L 12-31 | −11.4 | +2.9 | 0.119 | 3 | −25.0 |
| 7 | vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff | W 42-17 | −12.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Jackson State · p 0.393
- Wk 9: at Alcorn State · p 0.223
- Wk 10: at Bethune-Cookman · p 0.231
- Wk 11: vs Alabama State · p 0.227
- Wk 12: at Alabama A&M · p 0.281
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs (N) Central State (OH)DII · L 21-24
- Wk 3: at Delta StateDII · L 7-35