Tennessee State
OVC · 4-1 vs FCS · 4-2 overall
Strength of record
#27
A #25-level team matches it 58% of the time
Power
#63
+0.2 pts · likely #39–89
Strength of schedule
27.7
#87 of 128
Strength of victory
18.5
#46
Record SOS
0.485
Opp. 46.7% · Opp. opp. 52.2%
Remaining SOS
18.7
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Tennessee State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs (N) Arkansas-Pine Bluff | W 24-14 | −18.5 | 0.0 | 0.031 | 4 | −7.1 |
| 3 | vs Gardner-Webb | W 27-25 | +1.8 | −2.9 | 0.245 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 5 | at UT Martin | L 10-20 | +11.4 | +2.9 | 0.642 | 1 | +2.9 |
| 6 | at Kennesaw State | W 27-20 | −1.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Lindenwood · p 0.063
- Wk 10: at Charleston Southern · p 0.230
- Wk 11: at Eastern Illinois · p 0.368
- Wk 12: vs Tennessee Tech · p 0.087
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Notre DameFBS · L 3-56