Monmouth
CAA · 3-2 vs FCS · 3-3 overall
Strength of record
#44
A #25-level team matches it 83% of the time
Power
#21
+10.3 pts · likely #9–49
Strength of schedule
31.2
#63 of 128
Strength of victory
23.4
#34
Record SOS
0.528
Opp. 53.3% · Opp. opp. 51.8%
Remaining SOS
46.0
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Monmouth. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Elon · p 0.540
- Wk 9: at William & Mary · p 0.616
- Wk 10: vs Stony Brook · p 0.047
- Wk 11: vs New Hampshire · p 0.473
- Wk 12: at UAlbany · p 0.625
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Florida AtlanticFBS · L 20-42