Lafayette
Patriot · 5-0 vs FCS · 5-1 overall
Strength of record
#6
A #25-level team matches it 16% of the time
Power
#39
+7.1 pts · likely #14–61
Strength of schedule
28.6
#81 of 128
Strength of victory
28.6
#22
Record SOS
0.517
Opp. 48.3% · Opp. opp. 58.5%
Remaining SOS
38.9
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
3-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Lafayette. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Sacred Heart | W 19-14 | −12.4 | +2.9 | 0.105 | 3 | −2.7 |
| 3 | vs Columbia | W 24-3 | +4.9 | −2.9 | 0.316 | 2 | +20.6 |
| 4 | vs Monmouth | W 28-20 | +11.8 | −2.9 | 0.497 | 2 | +15.3 |
| 5 | vs Bucknell | W 56-22 | −7.6 | −2.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Holy Cross · p 0.787
- Wk 9: at Georgetown · p 0.267
- Wk 10: vs Colgate · p 0.126
- Wk 11: vs Fordham · p 0.310
- Wk 12: at Lehigh · p 0.132
- Wk 13: at Delaware · p 0.710
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at DukeFBS · L 7-42