Bucknell
Patriot · 2-3 vs FCS · 2-4 overall
Strength of record
#76
A #25-level team matches it 97% of the time
Power
#102
−10.1 pts · likely #78–120
Strength of schedule
34.3
#47 of 128
Strength of victory
16.3
2 wins
Record SOS
0.665
Opp. 75.0% · Opp. opp. 49.4%
Remaining SOS
19.9
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Bucknell. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs VMI | W 21-13 | −10.7 | −2.9 | 0.062 | 4 | −6.4 |
| 4 | vs Penn | L 21-37 | +3.4 | −2.9 | 0.281 | 2 | −14.9 |
| 5 | at Lafayette | L 22-56 | +4.9 | +2.9 | 0.469 | 2 | −24.0 |
| 6 | vs Holy Cross | L 27-55 | +17.2 | −2.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Lehigh · p 0.065
- Wk 9: at Colgate · p 0.229
- Wk 10: at Fordham · p 0.462
- Wk 11: vs Georgetown · p 0.153
- Wk 12: at Marist · p 0.084
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at James MadisonFBS · L 3-38