VMI
Southern · 3-2 vs FCS · 3-3 overall
Strength of record
#71
A #25-level team matches it 96% of the time
Power
#108
−11.4 pts · likely #84–123
Strength of schedule
21.3
#110 of 128
Strength of victory
14.1
#52
Record SOS
0.434
Opp. 37.0% · Opp. opp. 56.1%
Remaining SOS
43.4
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against VMI. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Samford · p 0.265
- Wk 9: vs Chattanooga · p 0.428
- Wk 10: at East Tennessee State · p 0.249
- Wk 11: at Furman · p 0.667
- Wk 12: vs Western Carolina · p 0.561
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at NC StateFBS · L 7-45