Mercer
Southern · 4-2 vs FCS · 4-3 overall
Strength of record
#42
A #25-level team matches it 82% of the time
Power
#32
+8.9 pts · likely #11–53
Strength of schedule
26.9
#89 of 128
Strength of victory
16.4
#49
Record SOS
0.534
Opp. 59.7% · Opp. opp. 40.7%
Remaining SOS
37.7
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Mercer. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs (N) North Alabama | W 17-7 | −2.6 | 0.0 | 0.216 | 3 | +6.8 |
| 2 | vs Morehead State | W 48-22 | −9.4 | −2.9 | 0.073 | 4 | +13.4 |
| 4 | at Furman | L 14-38 | +9.2 | +2.9 | 0.585 | 1 | −8.8 |
| 5 | vs VMI | W 38-3 | −9.2 | −2.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Wofford · p 0.044
- Wk 9: at Western Carolina · p 0.710
- Wk 10: at The Citadel · p 0.065
- Wk 11: vs Samford · p 0.265
- Wk 13: vs Gardner-Webb · p 0.243
- Wk 14: at South Dakota State · p 0.933
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Ole MissFBS · L 7-73