Furman
Southern · 5-0 vs FCS · 5-1 overall
Strength of record
#12
A #25-level team matches it 20% of the time
Power
#14
+12.3 pts · likely #6–41
Strength of schedule
25.3
#98 of 128
Strength of victory
25.3
#29
Record SOS
0.424
Opp. 36.0% · Opp. opp. 55.3%
Remaining SOS
37.8
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Furman. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Tennessee Tech | W 45-10 | −6.0 | −2.9 | 0.111 | 3 | +24.7 |
| 3 | at Kennesaw State | W 31-28 | −4.3 | +2.9 | 0.242 | 3 | +3.3 |
| 4 | vs Mercer | W 38-14 | +11.4 | −2.9 | 0.486 | 2 | +29.9 |
| 6 | vs The Citadel | W 28-14 | −19.0 | −2.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Western Carolina · p 0.710
- Wk 9: vs East Tennessee State · p 0.141
- Wk 10: at Chattanooga · p 0.586
- Wk 11: vs VMI · p 0.057
- Wk 12: at Wofford · p 0.095
- Wk 14: vs Chattanooga · p 0.428
- Wk 15: at Montana · p 0.631
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at South CarolinaFBS · L 21-47