Samford
Southern · 2-3 vs FCS · 3-4 overall
Strength of record
#73
A #25-level team matches it 96% of the time
Power
#48
+3.6 pts · likely #27–77
Strength of schedule
36.3
#34 of 128
Strength of victory
13.3
2 wins
Record SOS
0.541
Opp. 60.0% · Opp. opp. 42.3%
Remaining SOS
29.7
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Samford. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Western Carolina | L 7-30 | +12.6 | +2.9 | 0.673 | 1 | −6.3 |
| 4 | vs Chattanooga | L 24-47 | +6.7 | −2.9 | 0.361 | 2 | −15.9 |
| 5 | vs East Tennessee State | W 42-28 | −3.0 | −2.9 | 0.155 | 3 | +8.1 |
| 6 | at Wofford | W 31-10 | −12.0 | +2.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at VMI · p 0.118
- Wk 9: vs The Citadel · p 0.028
- Wk 11: at Mercer · p 0.571
- Wk 12: vs UT Martin · p 0.469
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs ShorterDII · W 69-14
- Wk 3: at AuburnFBS · L 13-45