Chattanooga
Southern · 5-2 vs FCS · 5-2 overall
Strength of record
#28
A #25-level team matches it 64% of the time
Power
#25
+10.0 pts · likely #10–47
Strength of schedule
30.8
#65 of 128
Strength of victory
27.6
#25
Record SOS
0.428
Opp. 35.2% · Opp. opp. 57.9%
Remaining SOS
42.7
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Chattanooga. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at North Alabama | L 27-41 | −5.6 | +2.9 | 0.215 | 3 | −14.2 |
| 2 | vs Kennesaw State | W 27-20 | −4.1 | −2.9 | 0.139 | 3 | +1.4 |
| 3 | vs The Citadel | W 48-3 | −15.2 | −2.9 | 0.033 | 4 | +16.8 |
| 4 | at Samford | W 47-24 | +6.1 | +2.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs East Tennessee State · p 0.141
- Wk 9: at VMI · p 0.118
- Wk 10: vs Furman · p 0.512
- Wk 13: at Austin Peay · p 0.697
- Wk 14: at Furman · p 0.667