Western Carolina
Southern · 5-0 vs FCS · 5-1 overall
Strength of record
#4
A #25-level team matches it 11% of the time
Power
#9
+13.7 pts · likely #5–35
Strength of schedule
32.9
#54 of 128
Strength of victory
32.9
#13
Record SOS
0.582
Opp. 60.0% · Opp. opp. 54.6%
Remaining SOS
25.6
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Western Carolina. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Samford | W 30-7 | +4.3 | −2.9 | 0.301 | 2 | +23.6 |
| 3 | at Eastern Kentucky | W 27-24 | +6.4 | +2.9 | 0.511 | 1 | +12.1 |
| 4 | vs Charleston Southern | W 77-21 | −2.0 | −2.9 | 0.173 | 3 | +27.4 |
| 5 | at The Citadel | W 49-14 | −15.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Furman · p 0.512
- Wk 9: vs Mercer · p 0.412
- Wk 10: at Wofford · p 0.095
- Wk 11: vs East Tennessee State · p 0.141
- Wk 12: at VMI · p 0.118
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at ArkansasFBS · L 13-56