East Tennessee State
Southern · 1-3 vs FCS · 2-4 overall
Strength of record
#95
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#73
−3.0 pts · likely #48–102
Strength of schedule
36.5
#32 of 128
Strength of victory
6.5
1 wins
Record SOS
0.446
Opp. 40.0% · Opp. opp. 53.8%
Remaining SOS
40.9
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against East Tennessee State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at Austin Peay | L 3-63 | +10.9 | +2.9 | 0.629 | 1 | −18.1 |
| 5 | at Samford | L 28-42 | +1.9 | +2.9 | 0.389 | 2 | −7.5 |
| 6 | vs Mercer | L 6-24 | +7.3 | −2.9 | 0.378 | 2 | −12.1 |
| 7 | vs Wofford | W 41-10 | −10.3 | −2.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Chattanooga · p 0.586
- Wk 9: at Furman · p 0.667
- Wk 10: vs VMI · p 0.057
- Wk 11: at Western Carolina · p 0.710
- Wk 12: vs The Citadel · p 0.028
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Jacksonville StateFBS · L 3-49
- Wk 2: vs Carson-NewmanDII · W 42-0