Austin Peay
UAC · 4-1 vs FCS · 4-2 overall
Strength of record
#20
A #25-level team matches it 40% of the time
Power
#7
+13.9 pts · likely #4–37
Strength of schedule
35.8
#38 of 128
Strength of victory
31.5
#15
Record SOS
0.532
Opp. 55.0% · Opp. opp. 49.7%
Remaining SOS
37.4
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Austin Peay. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Southern Illinois | L 23-49 | +7.1 | +2.9 | 0.530 | 1 | −12.7 |
| 3 | vs East Tennessee State | W 63-3 | −0.7 | −2.9 | 0.196 | 3 | +29.1 |
| 4 | at Stephen F. Austin | W 22-20 | +9.7 | +2.9 | 0.597 | 1 | +13.9 |
| 5 | at Lindenwood | W 52-10 | −8.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Southern Utah · p 0.489
- Wk 9: vs North Alabama · p 0.164
- Wk 10: at Eastern Kentucky · p 0.520
- Wk 11: vs Utah Tech · p 0.139
- Wk 12: vs Central Arkansas · p 0.502
- Wk 13: vs Chattanooga · p 0.428
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at TennesseeFBS · L 13-30