Southern Illinois
MVFC · 4-1 vs FCS · 5-1 overall
Strength of record
#8
A #25-level team matches it 18% of the time
Power
#22
+10.3 pts · likely #9–49
Strength of schedule
48.7
#6 of 128
Strength of victory
47.1
#2
Record SOS
0.616
Opp. 63.3% · Opp. opp. 58.1%
Remaining SOS
46.7
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southern Illinois. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Austin Peay | W 49-23 | +18.2 | −2.9 | 0.666 | 1 | +37.0 |
| 3 | at Southeast Missouri State | W 26-25 | +10.9 | +2.9 | 0.630 | 1 | +13.8 |
| 5 | vs Missouri State | W 33-20 | +8.9 | −2.9 | 0.418 | 2 | +17.1 |
| 6 | at Youngstown State | L 3-31 | +7.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs South Dakota State · p 0.865
- Wk 9: at Western Illinois · p 0.082
- Wk 10: vs South Dakota · p 0.518
- Wk 11: at North Dakota State · p 0.803
- Wk 12: vs Indiana State · p 0.049
- Wk 13: vs Nicholls State · p 0.244
- Wk 14: at Idaho · p 0.708
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Northern IllinoisFBS · W 14-11