Southeast Missouri State
OVC · 2-3 vs FCS · 2-4 overall
Strength of record
#69
A #25-level team matches it 95% of the time
Power
#28
+9.8 pts · likely #10–48
Strength of schedule
38.6
#28 of 128
Strength of victory
14.6
2 wins
Record SOS
0.626
Opp. 67.3% · Opp. opp. 53.0%
Remaining SOS
30.8
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southeast Missouri State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Lindenwood | W 45-7 | −8.8 | −2.9 | 0.080 | 4 | +22.1 |
| 3 | vs Southern Illinois | L 25-26 | +11.3 | −2.9 | 0.483 | 2 | +6.3 |
| 4 | at Eastern Kentucky | L 38-41 | +5.9 | +2.9 | 0.497 | 2 | +6.1 |
| 6 | at Central Arkansas | L 33-38 | +11.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Tennessee Tech · p 0.168
- Wk 9: at Nicholls State · p 0.385
- Wk 10: vs Robert Morris · p 0.045
- Wk 11: at UT Martin · p 0.626
- Wk 12: at Bryant · p 0.315
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Kansas StateFBS · L 0-45