Central Arkansas
UAC · 4-1 vs FCS · 5-2 overall
Strength of record
#5
A #25-level team matches it 16% of the time
Power
#17
+11.2 pts · likely #7–42
Strength of schedule
51.5
#4 of 128
Strength of victory
44.9
#3
Record SOS
0.608
Opp. 62.3% · Opp. opp. 57.7%
Remaining SOS
41.2
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
4-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Central Arkansas. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at North Dakota State | L 31-49 | +17.3 | +2.9 | 0.777 | 1 | +2.4 |
| 4 | vs Abilene Christian | W 52-17 | +9.3 | −2.9 | 0.428 | 2 | +36.3 |
| 5 | at Southern Utah | W 29-27 | +5.3 | +2.9 | 0.480 | 2 | +10.1 |
| 6 | vs Southeast Missouri State | W 38-33 | +10.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Tarleton State · p 0.306
- Wk 10: at North Alabama · p 0.282
- Wk 11: vs Eastern Kentucky · p 0.363
- Wk 12: at Austin Peay · p 0.697
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Oklahoma StateFBS · L 13-27
- Wk 2: vs Texas CollegeNon-NCAA · W 70-2