Southern Utah
UAC · 2-2 vs FCS · 2-4 overall
Strength of record
#46
A #25-level team matches it 84% of the time
Power
#42
+5.1 pts · likely #19–68
Strength of schedule
40.7
#21 of 128
Strength of victory
25.3
2 wins
Record SOS
0.497
Opp. 52.5% · Opp. opp. 44.2%
Remaining SOS
42.4
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southern Utah. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at UC Davis | L 21-23 | +10.3 | +2.9 | 0.614 | 1 | +10.0 |
| 4 | vs Western Illinois | W 37-17 | −15.0 | −2.9 | 0.034 | 4 | +2.3 |
| 5 | vs Central Arkansas | L 27-29 | +12.3 | −2.9 | 0.509 | 1 | +6.3 |
| 6 | at Tarleton State | W 27-26 | +5.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Austin Peay · p 0.546
- Wk 9: vs Abilene Christian · p 0.310
- Wk 11: at Stephen F. Austin · p 0.593
- Wk 12: at Utah Tech · p 0.247
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Arizona StateFBS · L 21-24
- Wk 2: at BYUFBS · L 16-41