UC Davis
Big Sky · 4-2 vs FCS · 4-3 overall
Strength of record
#35
A #25-level team matches it 78% of the time
Power
#30
+9.1 pts · likely #11–51
Strength of schedule
28.6
#80 of 128
Strength of victory
27.7
#24
Record SOS
0.481
Opp. 45.3% · Opp. opp. 53.9%
Remaining SOS
37.9
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
3-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against UC Davis. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at East Texas A&M | W 48-10 | −3.2 | +2.9 | 0.266 | 2 | +31.9 |
| 3 | vs Southern Utah | W 23-21 | +4.6 | −2.9 | 0.308 | 2 | +4.2 |
| 4 | vs Eastern Washington | L 24-27 | −1.7 | −2.9 | 0.178 | 3 | −5.4 |
| 5 | at Cal Poly | W 31-13 | −10.7 | +2.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Northern Arizona · p 0.416
- Wk 10: vs Portland State · p 0.434
- Wk 11: at Idaho State · p 0.203
- Wk 12: vs Sacramento State · p 0.463
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Oregon StateFBS · L 7-55