East Texas A&M
Southland · 1-4 vs FCS · 1-5 overall
Strength of record
#96
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#92
−6.1 pts · likely #64–111
Strength of schedule
45.6
#12 of 128
Strength of victory
6.6
1 wins
Record SOS
0.504
Opp. 55.0% · Opp. opp. 41.2%
Remaining SOS
19.7
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-3
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against East Texas A&M. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs UC Davis | L 10-48 | +6.1 | −2.9 | 0.345 | 2 | −28.9 |
| 2 | at Sacramento State | L 6-34 | +9.2 | +2.9 | 0.584 | 1 | −14.8 |
| 5 | at Stephen F. Austin | L 27-56 | +8.0 | +2.9 | 0.553 | 1 | −17.1 |
| 6 | vs McNeese | W 41-10 | −10.3 | −2.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Nicholls State · p 0.244
- Wk 9: at Houston Christian · p 0.185
- Wk 10: at Lamar · p 0.199
- Wk 11: vs Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.162
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 4: at Old DominionFBS · L 9-10