Sacramento State
Big Sky · 4-1 vs FCS · 5-1 overall
Strength of record
#24
A #25-level team matches it 48% of the time
Power
#24
+10.2 pts · likely #9–47
Strength of schedule
31.7
#60 of 128
Strength of victory
22.2
#35
Record SOS
0.508
Opp. 48.0% · Opp. opp. 56.4%
Remaining SOS
52.0
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Sacramento State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Nicholls State | W 38-24 | +3.9 | +2.9 | 0.443 | 2 | +18.8 |
| 2 | vs East Texas A&M | W 34-6 | −5.8 | −2.9 | 0.114 | 3 | +19.0 |
| 4 | at Idaho | L 27-36 | +13.7 | +2.9 | 0.698 | 1 | +7.6 |
| 5 | vs Northern Arizona | W 31-30 | +1.4 | −2.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Montana State · p 0.786
- Wk 9: vs Idaho State · p 0.109
- Wk 10: at Montana · p 0.631
- Wk 11: vs Cal Poly · p 0.061
- Wk 12: at UC Davis · p 0.593
- Wk 13: at North Dakota · p 0.787
- Wk 14: at South Dakota · p 0.672
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at StanfordFBS · W 30-23