Northern Arizona
Big Sky · 2-4 vs FCS · 2-5 overall
Strength of record
#62
A #25-level team matches it 94% of the time
Power
#51
+2.6 pts · likely #31–77
Strength of schedule
48.5
#7 of 128
Strength of victory
53.5
2 wins
Record SOS
0.595
Opp. 62.5% · Opp. opp. 53.4%
Remaining SOS
43.6
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northern Arizona. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at North Dakota | L 22-37 | +18.3 | +2.9 | 0.797 | 1 | +5.3 |
| 3 | vs Utah Tech | L 36-50 | −8.3 | −2.9 | 0.085 | 4 | −20.8 |
| 4 | vs Montana | W 28-14 | +13.9 | −2.9 | 0.554 | 1 | +21.9 |
| 5 | at Sacramento State | L 30-31 | +12.3 | +2.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs UC Davis · p 0.435
- Wk 10: at Montana State · p 0.884
- Wk 11: vs Northern Colorado · p 0.058
- Wk 12: at Eastern Washington · p 0.366
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at ArizonaFBS · L 3-38