Portland State
Big Sky · 2-1 vs FCS · 3-3 overall
Strength of record
#26
A #25-level team matches it 51% of the time
Power
#33
+8.8 pts · likely #9–56
Strength of schedule
49.0
#5 of 128
Strength of victory
29.2
2 wins
Record SOS
0.522
Opp. 48.3% · Opp. opp. 60.1%
Remaining SOS
30.5
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Portland State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | vs Cal Poly | W 59-21 | −8.7 | −2.9 | 0.080 | 4 | +20.7 |
| 5 | at Montana State | L 22-38 | +23.8 | +2.9 | 0.886 | 1 | +9.9 |
| 7 | at Northern Arizona | W 45-21 | +6.2 | +2.9 | 0.504 | 1 | +29.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Idaho State · p 0.109
- Wk 9: vs Eastern Washington · p 0.229
- Wk 10: at UC Davis · p 0.593
- Wk 11: vs Montana · p 0.474
- Wk 12: at Northern Colorado · p 0.121
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at OregonFBS · L 7-81
- Wk 2: at WyomingFBS · L 17-31
- Wk 3: vs North American UniversityNon-NCAA · W 91-0