North Dakota
MVFC · 4-1 vs FCS · 4-2 overall
Strength of record
#9
A #25-level team matches it 18% of the time
Power
#5
+17.3 pts · likely #3–21
Strength of schedule
43.0
#15 of 128
Strength of victory
30.8
#17
Record SOS
0.605
Opp. 59.0% · Opp. opp. 63.5%
Remaining SOS
36.6
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Dakota. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Drake | W 55-7 | −1.9 | −2.9 | 0.174 | 3 | +29.0 |
| 2 | vs Northern Arizona | W 37-22 | +2.5 | −2.9 | 0.260 | 2 | +14.6 |
| 5 | at South Dakota State | L 21-42 | +26.8 | +2.9 | 0.920 | 1 | +10.0 |
| 6 | vs Western Illinois | W 49-10 | −14.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Northern Iowa · p 0.450
- Wk 9: vs Indiana State · p 0.049
- Wk 10: at Murray State · p 0.157
- Wk 11: at South Dakota · p 0.672
- Wk 12: vs Illinois State · p 0.408
- Wk 13: vs Sacramento State · p 0.463
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Boise StateFBS · L 18-42