Drake
Pioneer · 3-2 vs FCS · 3-3 overall
Strength of record
#39
A #25-level team matches it 80% of the time
Power
#74
−3.1 pts · likely #51–100
Strength of schedule
39.2
#24 of 128
Strength of victory
10.5
#55
Record SOS
0.563
Opp. 57.0% · Opp. opp. 54.9%
Remaining SOS
21.6
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Drake. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at North Dakota | L 7-55 | +15.9 | +2.9 | 0.748 | 1 | −14.7 |
| 3 | vs (N) South Dakota State | L 7-70 | +27.6 | 0.0 | 0.897 | 1 | −7.0 |
| 5 | at Morehead State | W 16-9 | −9.6 | +2.9 | 0.144 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 6 | vs Valparaiso | W 20-14 | −14.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at San Diego · p 0.099
- Wk 9: vs Stetson · p 0.047
- Wk 10: at Marist · p 0.084
- Wk 11: vs Presbyterian · p 0.019
- Wk 12: at Butler · p 0.241
- Wk 13: at North Dakota State · p 0.803
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs Northwestern (IA)Non-NCAA · L 24-27