Valparaiso
Pioneer · 0-4 vs FCS · 1-5 overall
Strength of record
#114
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#109
−11.9 pts · likely #85–123
Strength of schedule
25.1
#99 of 128
Strength of victory
—
0 wins
Record SOS
0.421
Opp. 41.3% · Opp. opp. 43.8%
Remaining SOS
17.0
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-2
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Valparaiso. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Youngstown State | L 10-52 | +11.2 | +2.9 | 0.637 | 1 | −20.0 |
| 4 | vs Marist | L 30-36 OT | −15.4 | −2.9 | 0.032 | 4 | −18.9 |
| 6 | at Drake | L 14-20 | −2.8 | +2.9 | 0.275 | 2 | −6.1 |
| 7 | vs Morehead State | L 21-24 | −10.8 | −2.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Davidson · p 0.377
- Wk 9: at Butler · p 0.241
- Wk 10: vs Dayton · p 0.018
- Wk 11: vs Stetson · p 0.047
- Wk 12: at St. Thomas (MN) · p 0.167
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Indiana WesleyanNon-NCAA · L 22-24
- Wk 5: vs Southwest Minnesota StateDII · W 16-15