Marist
Pioneer · 3-3 vs FCS · 3-3 overall
Strength of record
#94
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#116
−12.9 pts · likely #92–125
Strength of schedule
17.5
#120 of 128
Strength of victory
8.2
#57
Record SOS
0.372
Opp. 33.3% · Opp. opp. 45.0%
Remaining SOS
9.4
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-2
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Marist. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Georgetown | L 7-49 | −6.1 | +2.9 | 0.205 | 3 | −35.3 |
| 3 | vs Davidson | L 21-49 | −1.9 | −2.9 | 0.175 | 3 | −29.1 |
| 4 | at Valparaiso | W 36-30 OT | −11.1 | +2.9 | 0.122 | 3 | −5.9 |
| 5 | vs Stetson | W 34-24 | −10.8 | −2.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Presbyterian · p 0.047
- Wk 9: at St. Thomas (MN) · p 0.167
- Wk 10: vs Drake · p 0.142
- Wk 11: at Dayton · p 0.046
- Wk 12: vs Bucknell · p 0.067