South Dakota State
MVFC · 5-0 vs FCS · 6-0 overall
Strength of record
#1
A #25-level team matches it 1.6% of the time
Power
#1
+28.0 pts · likely #1–3
Strength of schedule
51.6
#3 of 128
Strength of victory
51.6
#1
Record SOS
0.748
Opp. 86.0% · Opp. opp. 52.5%
Remaining SOS
56.0
9 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
3-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against South Dakota State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Montana State | W 20-16 | +23.0 | −2.9 | 0.774 | 1 | +23.9 |
| 3 | vs (N) Drake | W 70-7 | −3.3 | 0.0 | 0.202 | 3 | +31.9 |
| 5 | vs North Dakota | W 42-21 | +19.2 | −2.9 | 0.688 | 1 | +35.3 |
| 6 | at Illinois State | W 40-21 | +8.9 | +2.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Southern Illinois · p 0.652
- Wk 9: at South Dakota · p 0.672
- Wk 10: vs North Dakota State · p 0.675
- Wk 11: at Youngstown State · p 0.669
- Wk 12: vs Missouri State · p 0.389
- Wk 14: vs Mercer · p 0.412
- Wk 15: vs Villanova · p 0.551
- Wk 16: vs (N) Montana · p 0.553
- Wk 16: vs UAlbany · p 0.467
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Western OregonDII · W 45-7