Northern Iowa
MVFC · 3-2 vs FCS · 3-3 overall
Strength of record
#30
A #25-level team matches it 72% of the time
Power
#44
+4.4 pts · likely #23–71
Strength of schedule
40.7
#22 of 128
Strength of victory
30.8
#16
Record SOS
0.545
Opp. 53.3% · Opp. opp. 56.8%
Remaining SOS
49.6
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northern Iowa. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Weber State | L 17-34 | −0.9 | −2.9 | 0.191 | 3 | −17.2 |
| 3 | at Idaho State | W 41-17 | −2.5 | +2.9 | 0.280 | 2 | +21.0 |
| 5 | vs Youngstown State | W 44-41 | +14.0 | −2.9 | 0.557 | 1 | +12.1 |
| 6 | at Indiana State | W 27-20 | −13.9 | +2.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs North Dakota · p 0.654
- Wk 9: at Illinois State · p 0.566
- Wk 10: vs Western Illinois · p 0.037
- Wk 11: at Missouri State · p 0.547
- Wk 12: vs North Dakota State · p 0.675
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Iowa StateFBS · L 9-30