Idaho State
Big Sky · 2-2 vs FCS · 2-4 overall
Strength of record
#65
A #25-level team matches it 94% of the time
Power
#91
−5.9 pts · likely #58–112
Strength of schedule
30.7
#66 of 128
Strength of victory
15.9
2 wins
Record SOS
0.484
Opp. 45.0% · Opp. opp. 55.2%
Remaining SOS
52.6
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Idaho State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs Northern Iowa | L 17-41 | +1.1 | −2.9 | 0.231 | 3 | −22.6 |
| 4 | vs Northern Colorado | W 35-21 | −10.0 | −2.9 | 0.068 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 5 | at Montana | L 20-28 | +12.9 | +2.9 | 0.680 | 1 | +5.9 |
| 7 | vs Eastern Washington | W 42-41 | +2.0 | −2.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Portland State · p 0.593
- Wk 9: at Sacramento State · p 0.620
- Wk 10: vs Weber State · p 0.272
- Wk 11: vs UC Davis · p 0.435
- Wk 12: at Idaho · p 0.708
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at San Diego StateFBS · L 28-36
- Wk 2: at Utah StateFBS · L 28-78