Montana
Big Sky · 5-1 vs FCS · 6-1 overall
Strength of record
#13
A #25-level team matches it 23% of the time
Power
#19
+10.9 pts · likely #9–44
Strength of schedule
37.3
#30 of 128
Strength of victory
38.0
#7
Record SOS
0.591
Opp. 61.1% · Opp. opp. 55.0%
Remaining SOS
56.9
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Montana. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Butler | W 35-20 | −4.9 | −2.9 | 0.126 | 3 | +7.9 |
| 2 | at Utah Tech | W 43-13 | −0.8 | +2.9 | 0.322 | 2 | +29.2 |
| 4 | at Northern Arizona | L 14-28 | −0.1 | +2.9 | 0.339 | 2 | −8.4 |
| 5 | vs Idaho State | W 28-20 | −8.9 | −2.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Northern Colorado · p 0.058
- Wk 10: vs Sacramento State · p 0.463
- Wk 11: at Portland State · p 0.593
- Wk 12: vs Montana State · p 0.786
- Wk 14: vs Delaware · p 0.561
- Wk 15: vs Furman · p 0.512
- Wk 16: vs North Dakota State · p 0.675
- Wk 16: vs (N) South Dakota State · p 0.903
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: vs Ferris StateDII · W 17-10