Butler
Pioneer · 2-3 vs FCS · 4-3 overall
Strength of record
#98
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#83
−4.1 pts · likely #52–105
Strength of schedule
23.2
#104 of 128
Strength of victory
6.5
2 wins
Record SOS
0.511
Opp. 54.0% · Opp. opp. 45.2%
Remaining SOS
9.2
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-2
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Butler. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Montana | L 20-35 | +11.5 | +2.9 | 0.644 | 1 | −1.1 |
| 4 | at Stetson | W 28-18 | −11.7 | +2.9 | 0.114 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 5 | vs Presbyterian | W 27-17 | −19.9 | −2.9 | 0.015 | 4 | −11.1 |
| 6 | at St. Thomas (MN) | L 10-17 | −9.5 | +2.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Dayton · p 0.046
- Wk 9: vs Valparaiso · p 0.047
- Wk 10: at Morehead State · p 0.135
- Wk 12: vs Drake · p 0.142
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs TaylorNon-NCAA · W 41-13
- Wk 3: vs Wabash CollegeDIII · W 47-21