Tarleton State
UAC · 3-2 vs FCS · 4-3 overall
Strength of record
#49
A #25-level team matches it 88% of the time
Power
#47
+3.8 pts · likely #26–74
Strength of schedule
28.0
#85 of 128
Strength of victory
18.2
#47
Record SOS
0.361
Opp. 26.7% · Opp. opp. 55.0%
Remaining SOS
40.5
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Tarleton State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at McNeese | W 52-34 | −13.7 | +2.9 | 0.090 | 4 | +7.0 |
| 2 | vs North Alabama | W 52-31 | −0.9 | −2.9 | 0.192 | 3 | +14.8 |
| 5 | at Southeastern Louisiana | W 14-13 | −3.2 | +2.9 | 0.265 | 2 | +1.8 |
| 6 | vs Southern Utah | L 26-27 | +5.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Morehead State · p 0.066
- Wk 9: at Central Arkansas · p 0.657
- Wk 10: vs Stephen F. Austin · p 0.435
- Wk 11: at Abilene Christian · p 0.462
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Texas TechFBS · L 3-41
- Wk 4: vs Southwest BaptistDII · W 27-13