Abilene Christian
UAC · 3-2 vs FCS · 3-3 overall
Strength of record
#48
A #25-level team matches it 86% of the time
Power
#45
+4.3 pts · likely #24–73
Strength of schedule
30.5
#68 of 128
Strength of victory
14.8
#51
Record SOS
0.526
Opp. 53.7% · Opp. opp. 50.6%
Remaining SOS
38.2
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Abilene Christian. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Northern Colorado | W 31-11 | −10.9 | −2.9 | 0.060 | 4 | +6.4 |
| 2 | at Prairie View A&M | W 45-16 | −6.2 | +2.9 | 0.203 | 3 | +23.0 |
| 3 | vs Incarnate Word | L 20-27 | +13.5 | −2.9 | 0.542 | 1 | +3.5 |
| 4 | at Central Arkansas | L 17-52 | +7.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Stephen F. Austin · p 0.593
- Wk 9: at Southern Utah · p 0.489
- Wk 10: vs Utah Tech · p 0.139
- Wk 11: vs Tarleton State · p 0.306
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 5: at North TexasFBS · L 31-45