Penn
Ivy · 4-1 vs FCS · 4-1 overall
Strength of record
#29
A #25-level team matches it 67% of the time
Power
#46
+4.1 pts · likely #26–73
Strength of schedule
23.2
#105 of 128
Strength of victory
24.2
#30
Record SOS
0.520
Opp. 48.3% · Opp. opp. 59.3%
Remaining SOS
37.2
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Penn. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at Colgate | W 20-6 | −3.5 | +2.9 | 0.259 | 2 | +12.2 |
| 4 | at Bucknell | W 37-21 | −9.3 | +2.9 | 0.148 | 3 | +8.9 |
| 5 | vs Dartmouth | L 20-23 OT | −1.0 | −2.9 | 0.191 | 3 | −5.3 |
| 6 | vs Georgetown | W 42-39 OT | −4.1 | −2.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Yale · p 0.515
- Wk 9: vs Brown · p 0.252
- Wk 10: vs Cornell · p 0.111
- Wk 11: at Harvard · p 0.711
- Wk 12: vs Princeton · p 0.270