Colgate
Patriot · 2-3 vs FCS · 2-4 overall
Strength of record
#53
A #25-level team matches it 91% of the time
Power
#85
−4.7 pts · likely #57–106
Strength of schedule
44.2
#13 of 128
Strength of victory
24.7
2 wins
Record SOS
0.614
Opp. 66.0% · Opp. opp. 52.2%
Remaining SOS
24.9
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Colgate. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Villanova | L 19-42 | +13.6 | +2.9 | 0.696 | 1 | −6.8 |
| 3 | vs Penn | L 6-20 | +2.8 | −2.9 | 0.268 | 2 | −12.9 |
| 4 | at Holy Cross | L 7-47 | +16.1 | +2.9 | 0.752 | 1 | −14.6 |
| 5 | at Cornell | W 35-25 | −3.9 | +2.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Georgetown · p 0.267
- Wk 9: vs Bucknell · p 0.067
- Wk 10: at Lafayette · p 0.536
- Wk 11: vs Lehigh · p 0.065
- Wk 12: vs Fordham · p 0.310
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at SyracuseFBS · L 0-65