Yale
Ivy · 3-2 vs FCS · 3-2 overall
Strength of record
#56
A #25-level team matches it 92% of the time
Power
#38
+7.1 pts · likely #16–60
Strength of schedule
25.9
#92 of 128
Strength of victory
21.6
#37
Record SOS
0.442
Opp. 40.0% · Opp. opp. 52.6%
Remaining SOS
38.6
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Yale. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs Holy Cross | L 24-49 | +14.7 | −2.9 | 0.575 | 1 | −10.6 |
| 4 | vs Cornell | L 21-23 | −9.2 | −2.9 | 0.076 | 4 | −11.3 |
| 5 | vs Morgan State | W 45-3 | −0.5 | −2.9 | 0.198 | 3 | +26.5 |
| 6 | at Dartmouth | W 31-24 | +1.5 | +2.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Penn · p 0.300
- Wk 9: vs Columbia · p 0.260
- Wk 10: at Brown · p 0.394
- Wk 11: at Princeton · p 0.415
- Wk 12: vs Harvard · p 0.562