Fordham
Patriot · 4-2 vs FCS · 5-2 overall
Strength of record
#68
A #25-level team matches it 95% of the time
Power
#43
+4.7 pts · likely #25–68
Strength of schedule
18.3
#117 of 128
Strength of victory
7.3
#58
Record SOS
0.439
Opp. 41.4% · Opp. opp. 49.1%
Remaining SOS
37.2
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
3-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Fordham. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at UAlbany | L 13-34 | +8.5 | +2.9 | 0.565 | 1 | −8.2 |
| 1 | vs Wagner | W 46-16 | −11.7 | −2.9 | 0.054 | 4 | +13.4 |
| 4 | vs Stonehill | W 44-0 | −9.0 | −2.9 | 0.078 | 4 | +21.2 |
| 5 | at Georgetown | L 24-28 | −4.3 | +2.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Holy Cross · p 0.654
- Wk 10: vs Bucknell · p 0.067
- Wk 11: at Lafayette · p 0.536
- Wk 12: at Colgate · p 0.229
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at BuffaloFBS · W 40-37