Merrimack
NEC · 2-3 vs FCS · 3-3 overall
Strength of record
#103
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#78
−3.6 pts · likely #52–101
Strength of schedule
22.9
#107 of 128
Strength of victory
9.7
2 wins
Record SOS
0.379
Opp. 33.0% · Opp. opp. 47.8%
Remaining SOS
16.3
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-2
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Merrimack. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Holy Cross | L 20-42 | +18.3 | +2.9 | 0.797 | 1 | −1.6 |
| 2 | vs (N) Lehigh | L 12-14 | −11.5 | 0.0 | 0.082 | 4 | −12.3 |
| 4 | at Wagner | L 27-30 | −15.7 | +2.9 | 0.070 | 4 | −13.6 |
| 5 | at Sacred Heart | W 17-7 | −10.1 | +2.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Long Island · p 0.180
- Wk 9: at Saint Francis · p 0.252
- Wk 11: vs Central Connecticut State · p 0.040
- Wk 12: vs Duquesne · p 0.178
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: vs Virginia LynchburgNon-NCAA · W 44-0