Alabama State
SWAC · 3-2 vs FCS · 3-3 overall
Strength of record
#40
A #25-level team matches it 81% of the time
Power
#59
+1.0 pts · likely #35–84
Strength of schedule
34.8
#42 of 128
Strength of victory
33.1
#12
Record SOS
0.537
Opp. 56.0% · Opp. opp. 49.1%
Remaining SOS
16.1
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Alabama State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Southern | W 14-10 | +2.8 | −2.9 | 0.267 | 2 | +3.5 |
| 4 | at Florida A&M | L 10-23 | +11.9 | +2.9 | 0.656 | 1 | +1.0 |
| 5 | vs Alcorn State | L 20-23 OT | −7.5 | −2.9 | 0.094 | 4 | −10.8 |
| 6 | vs Bethune-Cookman | W 19-14 | −5.8 | −2.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs (N) Alabama A&M · p 0.217
- Wk 10: vs (N) Grambling State · p 0.173
- Wk 11: at Mississippi Valley State · p 0.103
- Wk 12: at Prairie View A&M · p 0.150
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs Miles CollegeDII · L 17-21