Houston Christian
Southland · 2-3 vs FCS · 3-4 overall
Strength of record
#85
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#94
−7.0 pts · likely #67–112
Strength of schedule
28.3
#83 of 128
Strength of victory
25.1
2 wins
Record SOS
0.508
Opp. 52.0% · Opp. opp. 48.5%
Remaining SOS
24.3
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Houston Christian. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at UT Martin | L 7-66 | +8.2 | +2.9 | 0.558 | 1 | −22.1 |
| 4 | at Southeastern Louisiana | W 34-19 | +1.5 | +2.9 | 0.378 | 2 | +15.8 |
| 5 | vs Lamar | L 19-21 | −7.2 | −2.9 | 0.097 | 4 | −10.9 |
| 6 | at Nicholls State | L 7-38 | −3.4 | +2.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs East Texas A&M · p 0.097
- Wk 11: at McNeese · p 0.085
- Wk 12: vs Incarnate Word · p 0.547
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Arkansas BaptistNon-NCAA · W 66-0
- Wk 2: at Western KentuckyFBS · L 22-52