Saint Francis
NEC · 2-3 vs FCS · 2-4 overall
Strength of record
#106
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#70
−2.6 pts · likely #47–99
Strength of schedule
19.4
#114 of 128
Strength of victory
8.8
2 wins
Record SOS
0.417
Opp. 41.3% · Opp. opp. 42.4%
Remaining SOS
15.6
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-2
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Saint Francis. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Robert Morris | L 21-31 | −16.1 | +2.9 | 0.066 | 4 | −20.8 |
| 3 | at Delaware | L 14-42 | +12.9 | +2.9 | 0.679 | 1 | −11.0 |
| 4 | vs Sacred Heart | L 34-37 | −12.7 | −2.9 | 0.047 | 4 | −16.6 |
| 5 | at Stonehill | W 15-10 | −11.4 | +2.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Duquesne · p 0.300
- Wk 9: vs Merrimack · p 0.139
- Wk 10: vs Long Island · p 0.094
- Wk 12: at Central Connecticut State · p 0.089
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Western MichiganFBS · L 17-35