Computer ratings · FCS vs FCS games only

FCS College Football Ratings & Strength of Schedule

2023 Week 5 · through Saturday, September 30

Early-season ratings are provisional: too few FCS games connect the league yet, so last season still carries real weight.

Season

Week

How this week's numbers compare

Power (0 = average team): #1 +22.9 · #10 +13.3 · middle −0.5
SOS (higher is harder): hardest 68.1 · #10 48.5 · middle 30.9 · easiest 4.6
SOR (lower is better): #1 7.6% · #25 62%

Power is in points: a +20 team would be favored by about 20 over an average FCS team on a neutral field, and by 10 over a +10 team. SOS, SOR, and SOV are measured against a #25-level team: one as strong as the 25th-best team in these ratings usually is at season's end (+9.0 points). That comes from these ratings, not the poll. An SOS of 50 means a #25-level team would lose about half of these games; above 50, the opponents were, on average, better than that.

What these columns mean

#: Rank in the column you sorted by (strength of record unless you pick another). "—" means too few FCS games to rank.
vs FCS: Record against FCS teams. These are the only games any number here counts.
All games: Record in every game, including opponents outside FCS. For reference only.
SOR: Strength of record: how often a #25-level team would do at least this well against this exact schedule. Lower is harder to achieve.
Power: Points better than an average FCS team on a neutral field. The difference between two teams is the expected margin.
SOS: Strength of schedule, 0–100: on average, how often a #25-level team would lose each of these games. Higher is harder.
SOS rank: Rank by SOS. Teams need 3 FCS games to be ranked.
SOV: Strength of victory: SOS counting only the games the team won.
Record SOS: NCAA RPI-style schedule strength from records only: 2/3 opponents' win % plus 1/3 their opponents' win %.

Only games between two FCS teams count. Method v1 · 214 FCS games · run a88cc048f365

Team

vs FCS

All games

SOS rank

Southern IllinoisMVFC

3-0

4-0

7.6%

+15.3

56.9

0.664

42.9

South Dakota StateMVFC

3-0

4-0

10%

+22.9

45.5

0.753

52.5

South DakotaMVFC

3-0

3-1

10%

+10.7

35.8

0.713

43.4

HarvardIvy

3-0

16%

+12.1

37.8

0.770

32.8

UAlbanyCAA

3-0

3-2

20%

+10.4

39.0

0.655

42.8

Florida A&MSWAC

3-0

4-1

26%

+10.7

30.8

0.617

23.4

UT MartinOVC

4-0

4-1

26%

+11.6

27.4

0.613

33.6

Western CarolinaSouthern

4-0

4-1

27%

+13.3

25.7

0.525

33.4

IdahoBig Sky

3-0

4-1

27%

+13.7

33.6

0.713

38.5

Montana StateBig Sky

4-1

28%

+22.0

38.8

26.7

0.645

43.8

FurmanSouthern

3-0

3-1

29%

+17.0

31.9

0.484

30.8

LafayettePatriot

4-0

4-1

29%

+6.6

24.9

0.526

38.1

North Carolina CentralMEAC

3-0

4-1

35%

+11.9

27.9

0.501

27.3

Eastern IllinoisOVC

4-0

4-1

37%

−0.5

20.4

0.396

29.5

ElonCAA

3-1

3-2

39%

+12.2

44.5

45.7

0.555

45.2

Central ArkansasUAC

2-1

3-2

39%

+12.2

57.4

47.4

0.594

44.8

William & MaryCAA

4-1

41%

+11.6

34.0

26.9

0.445

35.1

DelawareCAA

3-0

3-1

42%

+13.4

23.3

0.398

38.7

Austin PeayUAC

3-1

3-2

47%

+11.7

39.1

31.3

0.528

37.2

Tarleton StateUAC

3-0

4-1

49%

+4.9

20.8

0.290

42.3

North Dakota StateMVFC

3-1

52%

+18.5

37.5

37.8

0.710

49.2

Weber StateBig Sky

2-1

3-2

53%

+6.2

46.7

36.8

0.588

32.7

Eastern KentuckyUAC

2-1

2-3

53%

+7.5

47.7

44.1

0.632

44.3

Holy CrossPatriot

3-1

3-2

60%

+16.0

32.7

27.5

0.565

24.2

Eastern WashingtonBig Sky

2-2

2-3

62%

+2.2

54.6

44.9

0.632

35.5

HamptonCAA

3-1

63%

+1.2

31.3

37.8

0.678

44.2

VillanovaCAA

3-1

3-2

64%

+9.3

30.9

24.5

0.619

45.2

Sacramento StateBig Sky

3-1

4-1

66%

+10.3

30.4

18.0

0.578

42.6

Jackson StateSWAC

3-1

3-2

67%

+10.9

29.1

24.3

0.752

13.4

DartmouthIvy

2-1

69%

+2.0

37.3

27.5

0.532

32.5

Tennessee StateOVC

2-1

2-2

69%

+0.5

38.0

23.3

0.625

20.1

Rhode IslandCAA

3-1

3-2

72%

+6.9

26.3

19.3

0.462

36.6

ChattanoogaSouthern

4-1

73%

+8.2

20.9

20.2

0.277

48.8

BrownIvy

2-1

73%

+2.7

36.8

19.3

0.571

33.1

North DakotaMVFC

2-1

2-2

74%

+9.8

39.2

16.3

0.616

37.7

Norfolk StateMEAC

2-1

2-3

75%

−2.6

32.8

41.4

0.608

28.7

MercerSouthern

3-1

3-2

76%

+10.2

26.3

12.4

0.513

35.3

Northern IowaMVFC

2-1

2-2

80%

+7.0

29.2

31.9

0.590

47.4

Stephen F. AustinSouthland

3-1

3-2

80%

+10.9

22.1

13.9

0.427

42.0

UC DavisBig Sky

3-1

3-2

82%

+10.8

20.0

20.1

0.394

36.0

WagnerNEC

2-1

2-3

85%

−10.6

26.2

16.9

0.378

13.4

MontanaBig Sky

3-1

4-1

86%

+6.5

17.8

104

15.4

0.452

57.8

Abilene ChristianUAC

2-2

2-3

87%

+4.2

38.8

18.4

0.509

35.0

Grambling StateSWAC

2-1

3-2

89%

+1.0

20.8

17.6

0.472

19.6

CampbellCAA

2-3

89%

+10.3

45.2

32.5

0.563

33.0

MonmouthCAA

2-2

2-3

90%

+6.5

33.7

23.8

0.530

44.6

North Carolina A&TCAA

1-2

1-3

91%

−1.9

47.3

31.3

0.747

41.2

PrincetonIvy

2-1

91%

+4.1

19.4

101

21.6

0.431

37.7

CornellIvy

2-1

91%

−5.4

23.8

32.0

0.353

34.3

BryantOVC

2-2

2-3

91%

−1.3

33.1

31.2

0.502

26.1

TowsonCAA

2-2

2-3

92%

−0.4

33.7

46.8

0.498

49.0

PennIvy

2-1

92%

+4.0

17.7

105

15.9

0.514

33.7

Charleston SouthernOVC

1-2

2-3

93%

−5.4

45.5

22.3

0.537

28.6

Illinois StateMVFC

3-1

93%

+7.3

13.1

106

7.3

0.317

43.5

New HampshireCAA

2-2

2-3

93%

+9.6

32.3

22.7

0.606

36.9

Missouri StateMVFC

1-2

1-3

94%

+8.5

50.3

13.6

0.708

44.2

LamarSouthland

1-2

2-3

94%

−10.4

43.6

17.9

0.753

23.2

ButlerPioneer

2-1

4-1

95%

−3.8

20.3

5.5

0.424

11.7

Prairie View A&MSWAC

2-2

2-3

95%

−5.6

25.5

28.7

0.398

29.9

Utah TechUAC

1-3

1-4

95%

−7.9

51.6

48.5

0.495

44.0

North AlabamaUAC

2-4

95%

−1.3

42.2

38.1

0.653

42.7

Youngstown StateMVFC

2-1

2-2

95%

+7.4

19.8

100

4.7

0.373

43.9

DrakePioneer

1-2

1-3

96%

−10.4

48.5

10.2

0.531

18.1

St. Thomas (MN)Pioneer

2-2

3-2

96%

−5.7

32.2

5.8

0.523

9.1

Alcorn StateSWAC

2-2

2-3

96%

−3.7

27.4

21.8

0.413

24.6

ColumbiaIvy

1-2

96%

+3.8

34.8

19.7

0.637

30.9

SouthernSWAC

2-2

97%

+2.8

23.7

12.0

0.444

24.8

VMISouthern

2-2

2-3

97%

−11.4

26.2

21.6

0.456

35.6

ColgatePatriot

1-3

1-4

97%

−6.6

46.1

29.6

0.629

24.3

Tennessee TechOVC

1-2

1-3

97%

−5.4

38.0

25.4

0.457

30.0

GeorgetownPatriot

3-2

97%

−5.0

18.4

103

19.4

0.411

31.1

Alabama StateSWAC

1-2

1-3

98%

−1.4

35.5

29.3

0.588

25.0

SamfordSouthern

1-2

2-3

98%

+0.3

35.4

10.6

0.497

34.3

Robert MorrisOVC

1-2

2-3

98%

−13.5

31.7

17.2

0.329

32.1

FordhamPatriot

2-2

3-2

98%

+6.5

22.1

8.7

0.635

25.4

Southern UtahUAC

1-2

1-4

98%

+5.8

41.8

5.4

0.389

41.7

DavidsonPioneer

2-1

3-2

98%

+2.2

8.0

109

8.2

0.398

8.4

Southeast Missouri StateOVC

1-2

1-3

98%

+11.8

39.5

5.6

0.589

33.8

LindenwoodOVC

1-3

2-3

98%

−13.3

41.1

13.4

0.368

21.8

Cal PolyBig Sky

1-2

2-3

98%

−10.7

29.3

10.9

0.356

47.3

StonehillNEC

2-3

99%

−11.1

26.4

20.4

0.361

16.3

Houston ChristianSouthland

1-2

2-3

99%

−9.0

36.1

44.6

0.431

24.7

MaineCAA

1-3

1-4

99%

−3.9

44.9

8.8

0.519

39.1

Morgan StateMEAC

1-3

1-4

99%

−6.4

35.8

39.9

0.487

28.7

Idaho StateBig Sky

1-2

1-4

99%

−7.4

30.7

6.9

0.435

47.7

BucknellPatriot

1-2

1-3

99%

−12.9

26.8

7.5

0.630

25.2

Northern ArizonaBig Sky

1-3

1-4

99%

+0.6

44.6

47.3

0.535

43.4

YaleIvy

1-2

99%

+4.5

26.9

19.9

0.477

34.6

PresbyterianPioneer

1-2

2-2

99%

−17.8

20.5

21.4

0.455

10.7

MaristPioneer

2-2

99%

−16.7

12.6

107

8.2

0.313

13.4

RichmondCAA

2-2

2-3

100%

−0.4

10.1

108

8.5

0.325

46.3

LehighPatriot

1-4

100%

−12.6

31.7

23.0

0.466

32.0

MerrimackNEC

1-3

2-3

100%

−3.9

26.8

16.3

0.384

13.4

San DiegoPioneer

1-3

1-4

100%

−9.2

18.7

102

5.3

0.292

6.7

Saint FrancisNEC

1-3

1-4

100%

−5.0

22.0

11.9

0.363

13.8

Sacred HeartNEC

1-4

100%

−9.3

20.5

25.4

0.436

19.2

WoffordSouthern

0-4

0-5

100%

−8.4

30.0

—

0.427

37.0

Arkansas-Pine BluffSWAC

0-3

1-4

100%

−14.0

24.9

—

0.324

22.9

DaytonPioneer

0-3

2-3

100%

−13.6

23.0

—

0.343

11.9

East Texas A&MSouthland

0-3

0-4

100%

−11.6

53.3

—

0.583

24.5

Kennesaw StateFCS Indep.

0-4

1-4

100%

−0.9

40.5

—

0.427

22.9

McNeeseSouthland

0-4

0-5

100%

−11.1

25.8

—

0.480

25.2

Morehead StatePioneer

0-3

1-3

100%

−14.0

29.1

—

0.391

16.6

Northern ColoradoBig Sky

0-4

0-5

100%

−11.7

40.6

—

0.459

38.6

Southeastern LouisianaSouthland

0-3

0-5

100%

−2.1

25.7

—

0.422

21.6

StetsonPioneer

0-3

2-3

100%

−13.7

34.7

—

0.497

11.2

Stony BrookCAA

0-4

0-5

100%

−12.1

36.6

—

0.458

48.5

The CitadelSouthern

0-4

0-5

100%

−17.5

38.9

—

0.466

31.1

Western IllinoisMVFC

0-3

0-4

100%

−11.8

30.9

—

0.265

51.2

—

Incarnate WordSouthland

2-0

3-1

49%

+17.8

28.2

small sample

28.2

0.389

13.2

—

Gardner-WebbOVC

1-1

1-3

82%

+6.3

44.5

small sample

57.6

0.694

35.3

—

HowardMEAC

1-1

2-2

96%

+4.1

20.3

small sample

13.3

0.567

32.4

—

Portland StateBig Sky

1-1

2-3

89%

+3.8

50.0

small sample

12.7

0.583

30.1

—

Nicholls StateSouthland

1-1

1-3

93%

−2.1

30.6

small sample

17.0

0.417

36.9

—

DuquesneNEC

1-0

2-2

82%

−2.3

18.2

small sample

18.2

0.111

24.4

—

Bethune-CookmanSWAC

0-1

1-3

100%

−3.3

68.1

small sample

—

0.741

26.4

—

Texas SouthernSWAC

0-2

1-4

100%

−3.6

20.9

small sample

—

0.414

32.6

—

Alabama A&MSWAC

1-1

3-2

99%

−5.9

21.9

small sample

3.6

0.227

32.4

—

Murray StateMVFC

2-0

2-2

91%

−6.2

4.6

small sample

4.6

0.417

57.4

—

South Carolina StateMEAC

1-1

1-3

99%

−6.8

25.1

small sample

2.8

0.454

25.7

—

Long IslandNEC

0-2

0-4

100%

−7.2

22.9

small sample

—

0.313

13.5

—

East Tennessee StateSouthern

0-2

1-3

100%

−7.4

42.8

small sample

—

0.417

37.4

—

Indiana StateMVFC

0-2

0-4

100%

−10.0

19.5

small sample

—

0.750

45.5

—

Central Connecticut StateNEC

0-2

1-3

100%

−11.7

21.2

small sample

—

0.390

14.7

—

Northwestern StateSouthland

0-2

0-4

100%

−12.0

31.3

small sample

—

0.653

14.9

—

Mississippi Valley StateSWAC

0-2

0-4

100%

−14.3

50.4

small sample

—

0.806

23.1

—

ValparaisoPioneer

0-2

1-3

100%

−14.6

24.0

small sample

—

0.375

15.1

—

Delaware StateMEAC

0-1

1-4

100%

−15.0

23.9

small sample

—

0.296

25.6