Southern Illinois
MVFC · 3-0 vs FCS · 4-0 overall
Strength of record
#1
A #25-level team matches it 7.6% of the time
Power
#7
+15.3 pts · likely #3–36
Strength of schedule
56.9
#2 of 128
Strength of victory
56.9
#1
Record SOS
0.664
Opp. 66.7% · Opp. opp. 65.7%
Remaining SOS
42.9
9 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southern Illinois. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Austin Peay | W 49-23 | +15.6 | −2.6 | 0.605 | 1 | +35.0 |
| 3 | at Southeast Missouri State | W 26-25 | +12.1 | +2.6 | 0.652 | 1 | +15.4 |
| 5 | vs Missouri State | W 33-20 | +9.7 | −2.6 | 0.449 | 2 | +18.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at Youngstown State · p 0.534
- Wk 7: at Murray State · p 0.209
- Wk 8: vs South Dakota State · p 0.780
- Wk 9: at Western Illinois · p 0.108
- Wk 10: vs South Dakota · p 0.485
- Wk 11: at North Dakota State · p 0.811
- Wk 12: vs Indiana State · p 0.065
- Wk 13: vs Nicholls State · p 0.172
- Wk 14: at Idaho · p 0.696
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Northern IllinoisFBS · W 14-11