Stephen F. Austin
Southland · 3-1 vs FCS · 3-2 overall
Strength of record
#39
A #25-level team matches it 80% of the time
Power
#19
+10.9 pts · likely #7–48
Strength of schedule
22.1
#89 of 128
Strength of victory
13.9
#31
Record SOS
0.427
Opp. 33.3% · Opp. opp. 61.5%
Remaining SOS
42.0
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Stephen F. Austin. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Alcorn State | W 38-10 | −1.6 | −2.6 | 0.185 | 3 | +21.7 |
| 3 | at Northwestern State | W 41-7 | −7.5 | +2.6 | 0.174 | 3 | +24.6 |
| 4 | vs Austin Peay | L 20-22 | +10.3 | −2.6 | 0.465 | 2 | +7.0 |
| 5 | vs East Texas A&M | W 56-27 | −11.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at Utah Tech · p 0.164
- Wk 7: at Central Arkansas · p 0.664
- Wk 8: vs Abilene Christian · p 0.319
- Wk 10: at Tarleton State · p 0.477
- Wk 11: vs Southern Utah · p 0.353
- Wk 12: at Eastern Kentucky · p 0.539
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at TroyFBS · L 30-48